Stretch question. A researcher considers a large sample where the proportion who prefer Coffee is p and the proportion who prefer Tea is 1 - p. Independently, the proportion who choose Milk is m and choose No milk is 1 - m. She assumes preference for drink and choice about milk are independent.
(a) Construct the 2x2 probability table with rows Coffee / Tea and columns Milk / No milk in terms of p and m.
(b) Find an expression for the probability that a randomly chosen person prefers Coffee given they choose Milk. (c) 'If p = 0.6 and m = 0.25 then P(Coffee | Milk) = 0.6.' Show whether this specific numerical claim is true. Give full working.
(a)Construct the 2x2 probability table.(2)
(b)Find P(Coffee | Milk) in terms of p and m.(2)
(c)Check the numerical claim for p = 0.6 and m = 0.25.(4)
(Total for Question 8 is 8 marks)