A Level Economics · Topic guide

Economic Growth: Causes, Types and the Economic Cycle

Economic growth is an increase in the value of goods and services produced in an economy over time, usually measured as the percentage change in real GDP.

A LevelMacroeconomicsAQAWJECEduqas

Method

  1. Distinguish actual growth (a rise in real GDP this period, shown by AD shifting right along SRAS) from potential growth (a rise in the economy's productive capacity, shown by LRAS or the PPF shifting outward).
  2. Learn the main causes of actual growth (rises in C, I, G or X-M) separately from the causes of potential growth (more or better labour, capital, land, enterprise, or improved technology and productivity).
  3. Learn the four phases of the economic cycle (boom, downturn, recession, recovery) and the typical characteristics of each phase.
  4. Learn the technical definition of a recession used in the UK, at least two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth, and be ready to identify one from a data table.
  5. Explain economic growth using both the AD/AS diagram (for actual growth) and the PPF diagram (for potential growth, shown as an outward shift of the whole frontier).
  6. Practise calculating percentage growth rates from real GDP figures across consecutive periods, and identifying trend growth from a data series.
  7. Evaluate the causes and effects of growth using the state of the economy (spare capacity versus near full employment), the sustainability of the growth (demand-led and potentially inflationary, or supply-led and sustainable), and the time period under discussion.

Worked example

A country's real GDP (index, Year 1 = 100) was: Year 1: 100, Year 2: 102, Year 3: 101.5, Year 4: 100.8. Calculate the percentage change in real GDP in each of Years 2, 3 and 4, and state in which years, if any, the economy was in recession, using the standard UK definition.

  1. Year 2 growth: (102 - 100) / 100 x 100 = 2.0 percent.
  2. Year 3 growth: (101.5 - 102) / 102 x 100 = approximately minus 0.49 percent, so real GDP fell in Year 3.
  3. Year 4 growth: (100.8 - 101.5) / 101.5 x 100 = approximately minus 0.69 percent, so real GDP fell again in Year 4.
  4. A recession requires at least two consecutive periods of negative growth.
  5. Since real GDP fell in both Year 3 and Year 4, the economy meets the definition of a recession over that period.

Practice questions

Try each question, then tap to reveal the answer.

Q1Give the standard UK definition of a recession.Show answer

Answer: At least two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth.

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Q2Distinguish actual growth from potential growth.Show answer

Answer: Actual growth is a rise in real output this period; potential growth is a rise in the economy's productive capacity, what it could produce if all resources were fully and efficiently employed.

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Q3On a PPF diagram, how is potential growth shown?Show answer

Answer: As an outward shift of the whole production possibility frontier.

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Q4Name the four phases of the economic cycle in order.Show answer

Answer: Boom, downturn (slowdown), recession, recovery.

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Q5State one typical characteristic of the boom phase of the economic cycle.Show answer

Answer: Low unemployment and rising inflationary pressure, alongside high consumer and business confidence and strong investment.

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Q6Real GDP was 250bn in Year 1 and 260bn in Year 2. Calculate the percentage growth rate.Show answer

Answer: (260 - 250) / 250 x 100 = 4 percent.

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Q7Give one cause of potential (long-run) economic growth, other than an increase in the size of the labour force.Show answer

Answer: An increase in the capital stock through investment, or an improvement in technology or productivity, or an improvement in the skills and education of the workforce.

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Exam-style questions

Written in the style of a A Level Economics exam paper, with a full mark scheme.

Q1[6 marks]

Explain two causes of an increase in a country's potential economic growth.

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Q2[15 marks]

Evaluate the likely impact of a prolonged period of strong actual economic growth, driven mainly by rising consumer spending, on a country's macroeconomic performance.

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See real A Level Economics past-paper questions, with official mark schemes

Free printable worksheet

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