A Level Politics · Topic guide

Long-Term Factors Influencing Voting Behaviour: Class, Age and Region

Voting behaviour is the study of why people vote as they do, and is usually split into long-term factors, which shape a voter's underlying loyalty over years or decades, and short-term factors, which operate within a single election campaign.

Year 12-13 (A Level)UK PoliticsEdexcelAQAWJEC

Before you start

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Method

  1. Learn the distinction between long-term factors, class, age, region, partisan alignment, and short-term factors, leadership, the campaign, events, and why analysts separate them.
  2. Learn the traditional class alignment model, working-class voters leaning Labour, middle-class voters leaning Conservative, and the concept of class dealignment, the long-term weakening of this link since the mid-20th century.
  3. Learn the age pattern in voting: older voters have tended to lean more Conservative and younger voters more towards Labour or smaller parties such as the Greens, and be able to suggest reasons, e.g. differing priorities on issues such as housing, pensions and public spending.
  4. Learn the regional pattern in voting: the SNP's dominance of Scottish Westminster seats since 2015, and the long-standing North/South divide in party support across England, together with how devolution has made regional patterns more visible.
  5. Learn the concept of partisan dealignment, voters identifying less strongly with a single party over their lifetime, and how it links to class dealignment, both weakening the predictive power of long-term factors compared with the mid-20th century.
  6. Learn at least one specific UK general election as a case study of how these long-term factors combined, and be ready to compare it with a second case-study election.
  7. For 'assess'/'evaluate' questions on which long-term factor matters most, weigh evidence for one factor against evidence for another in each paragraph and reach a clear judgement, rather than describing each factor in isolation.

Worked example

A pollster reports that in a particular general election, 60% of voters aged 65 and over voted Conservative, compared with 25% of voters aged 18-24, while turnout among 18-24 year olds was significantly lower than among the 65-and-over group. Explain what this pattern suggests about age as a long-term factor in voting behaviour, and about its overall electoral impact.

  1. Note the difference in party preference by age: a much higher proportion of older voters chose the Conservatives than younger voters did.
  2. Note the difference in turnout by age: older voters were more likely to actually cast a vote than younger voters.
  3. Combine the two observations: because older voters are both more Conservative-leaning and more likely to vote, their preference has a larger effect on the result than the raw percentage of Conservative-leaning younger voters would suggest.
  4. Draw the conclusion about age as a long-term factor: age correlates strongly with party choice in this data, and its electoral impact is reinforced, not offset, by the turnout gap between older and younger voters.
  5. Note a limit on the explanation: a single election's figures show a strong pattern but cannot on their own prove that age causes the difference in voting, since age is bound up with related factors such as income, housing status and life stage.

Practice questions

Try each question, then tap to reveal the answer.

Q1What is the difference between a long-term and a short-term factor in voting behaviour?Show answer

Answer: A long-term factor, e.g. class, age, region, shapes a voter's underlying loyalty over years or decades; a short-term factor, e.g. leadership, campaign events, operates within a single election.

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Q2Define class dealignment.Show answer

Answer: The long-term weakening of the traditional link between a voter's social class and the party they support, compared with the stronger class-based voting pattern seen in the mid-20th century.

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Q3Describe the traditional pattern of class alignment in UK voting.Show answer

Answer: Working-class voters traditionally leaned towards Labour and middle-class voters traditionally leaned towards the Conservatives.

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Q4Which UK nation has seen the clearest regional shift in party support since the mid-2010s, and towards which party?Show answer

Answer: Scotland, where support shifted strongly towards the Scottish National Party (SNP).

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Q5Describe the general age pattern seen in recent UK general elections.Show answer

Answer: Older voters have tended to lean more towards the Conservatives, while younger voters have tended to lean more towards Labour or smaller parties such as the Greens.

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Q6Define partisan dealignment.Show answer

Answer: The long-term weakening of voters' sense of identification with a single political party, so fewer voters see themselves as lifelong supporters of one party.

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Q7Give one possible reason for the age gap in party support.Show answer

Answer: Younger and older voters can have different priorities, for example on housing costs, pensions, and levels of public spending, which different parties emphasise differently.

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Q8Why might turnout differences by age matter as much as preference differences by age?Show answer

Answer: Because a group with a strong party preference but low turnout has less actual electoral impact than a group with a similar preference and higher turnout.

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Exam-style questions

Written in the style of a A Level Politics exam paper, with a full mark scheme.

Q1[6 marks]

Using an example, explain how class dealignment has affected voting behaviour in the UK.

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Q2[30 marks]

'Class remains the most important long-term factor in explaining UK voting behaviour.' Analyse and evaluate this statement.

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See real A Level Politics past-paper questions, with official mark schemes

Free printable worksheet

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